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Tami McCraw, REALTOR® Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage 12036 Scripps Highlands Drive San Diego, Ca 92131 EMAIL TAMI |
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See All Feature Properties
Below I have compiled the most recent information available regarding the economic outlook for San Diego's Real Estate market along with actual data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, the SD Chamber of Commerce, the Department of Labor and more. Quick Links are Below: San Diego Market 2005 Economic Forecast San Diego Economic Research Bureau:PDF files Leading Economic Indicators San Diego Economic Research Bureau:PDF files Personal income by major source and earnings by major industry - California County income and employment summary -- San Diego, CA Regional economic profiles -- San Diego, CA Total full-time and part-time employment by industry -- San Diego, CA Compensation of Employees by Industry -- San Diego, CA
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Addressing the San Diego Market: Tami McCraw, REALTOR®
Buying and Selling real estate in Downtown San Diego, Old town San Diego, Scripps Ranch, Rancho Bernardo, Del Mar, and other high traffic areas can be complicated under our evolving market conditions.
Many San Diego Real Estate investors are finding it increasingly difficult to find condominiums, town houses, and other rental oriented homes with sale prices that offer a worth while return on investment funds. Additionally, market participants, whether buyers, sellers, or investors, are concerned that there may be a bubble that exists in San Diego's real estate market. Add to these factors the concern that interest rates are beginning to move, and what you get is a complicated set of influencing forces that justify the use of a skilled real estate agent that can uncover answers that make the most sense for you.
If you would like help navigating your real estate options, please contact me, Tami McCraw and I will do what I can to get you answers that are reliable and timely.
As a member of Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage, I have a team of licensed realtors and resources at my side to help you find and manage any and all real estate opportunities. I also work directly with your mortgage and finance partners, or if you prefer, I can connect you with a personal referral to one of my financial specialists.
These are the areas of San Diego that I focus directly on: Scripps Ranch Rancho Bernardo Rancho Penasquitos Carmel Mountain Poway Mira Mesa Clairemont Serra Mesa Mission Valley Old Town Downtown Mission Hills La Mesa Hillcrest North Park Mission Beach Pacific Beach Ocean Beach Del Mar La Jolla Santa Luz Fairbanks Ranch Solana Beach Cardiff by the Sea Encinitas Escondido Carlsbad Oceanside Vista San Marcos Fallbrook Bonsal Ramona Lakeside San Diego State University (SDSU) University of California at San Diego (UCSD) University of San Diego (USD)
I also provide these services and resources: Relocation Comparative Market Analysis Multiple Listing Services Mortgage Counseling Title Assistance Real Estate Appraisal Real Estate Investing Real Estate Development | |
Personal income by major source and earnings by major industry - California (Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted at annual rates)
| Code |
Item |
2004.1 |
2004.2 |
2004.3 |
2004.4 |
2005.1 |
2005.2 |
2005.3 |
| |
Income by place of residence |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 0010 |
Personal income |
1,232,134 |
1,250,427 |
1,264,874 |
1,302,381 |
1,310,250 |
1,327,404 |
1,340,319 |
| |
Derivation of personal income |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 0035 |
Earnings by place of work |
981,338 |
997,444 |
1,012,559 |
1,039,328 |
1,055,527 |
1,069,764 |
1,084,137 |
| 0036 |
less: Contributions for government social insurance 2/ |
107,713 |
108,948 |
110,922 |
113,990 |
115,978 |
116,752 |
117,810 |
| 0037 |
Employee and self-employed contributions for government social insurance |
55,056 |
55,791 |
56,856 |
58,388 |
59,407 |
59,834 |
60,397 |
| 0038 |
Employer contributions for government social insurance |
52,657 |
53,157 |
54,066 |
55,602 |
56,570 |
56,918 |
57,412 |
| 0042 |
plus: Adjustment for residence 3/ |
-305 |
-297 |
-286 |
-302 |
-290 |
-274 |
-269 |
| 0045 |
equals: Net earnings by place of residence |
873,320 |
888,198 |
901,351 |
925,036 |
939,259 |
952,738 |
966,058 |
| 0046 |
plus: Dividends, interest, and rent 4/ |
197,061 |
198,075 |
198,786 |
209,990 |
198,929 |
200,235 |
200,738 |
| 0047 |
plus: Personal current transfer receipts |
161,753 |
164,154 |
164,738 |
167,355 |
172,061 |
174,431 |
173,524 |
| 0048 |
State unemployment insurance benefits |
5,983 |
5,113 |
4,706 |
4,528 |
4,348 |
4,155 |
3,981 |
| 0049 |
Personal current transfer receipts excluding State U.I. |
155,770 |
159,041 |
160,032 |
162,827 |
167,713 |
170,276 |
169,542 |
| |
Earnings by place of work |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Components of earnings |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 0050 |
Wage and salary disbursements |
681,308 |
689,283 |
702,224 |
723,324 |
729,535 |
736,500 |
745,642 |
| 0060 |
Supplements to wages and salaries |
163,423 |
165,613 |
168,590 |
173,773 |
178,274 |
180,788 |
183,479 |
| 0061 |
Employer contributions for employee pension and insurance funds |
110,766 |
112,456 |
114,525 |
118,172 |
121,704 |
123,869 |
126,067 |
| 0062 |
Employer contributions for government social insurance |
52,657 |
53,157 |
54,066 |
55,602 |
56,570 |
56,918 |
57,412 |
| 0070 |
Proprietors' income 5/ |
136,608 |
142,548 |
141,745 |
142,230 |
147,718 |
152,477 |
155,016 |
| 0071 |
Farm proprietors' income |
6,811 |
7,744 |
4,994 |
3,986 |
6,717 |
7,305 |
6,484 |
| 0072 |
Nonfarm proprietors' income |
129,797 |
134,805 |
136,750 |
138,244 |
141,001 |
145,172 |
148,532 |
| |
Earnings by industry |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 0081 |
Farm earnings |
12,330 |
13,411 |
10,875 |
10,180 |
13,025 |
13,668 |
12,900 |
| 0082 |
Nonfarm earnings |
969,008 |
984,033 |
1,001,683 |
1,029,148 |
1,042,501 |
1,056,096 |
1,071,237 |
| 0090 |
Private earnings |
811,805 |
825,688 |
841,809 |
868,565 |
879,495 |
892,388 |
905,332 |
| 0100 |
Forestry, fishing, related activities, and other 6/ |
5,857 |
5,979 |
5,954 |
6,071 |
6,298 |
6,302 |
6,413 |
| 0200 |
Mining |
3,042 |
2,949 |
3,161 |
3,276 |
3,311 |
3,364 |
3,462 |
| 0300 |
Utilities |
9,534 |
9,574 |
9,794 |
9,981 |
10,060 |
10,249 |
10,494 |
| 0400 |
Construction |
62,018 |
64,992 |
67,023 |
68,339 |
70,507 |
72,619 |
75,092 |
| 0500 |
Manufacturing |
120,491 |
118,821 |
121,464 |
124,268 |
127,069 |
128,605 |
129,435 |
| 0510 |
Durable goods |
83,345 |
82,756 |
85,344 |
86,770 |
88,610 |
88,435 |
89,888 |
| 0530 |
Nondurable goods |
37,147 |
36,065 |
36,121 |
37,498 |
38,460 |
40,170 |
39,547 |
| 0600 |
Wholesale trade |
46,083 |
47,199 |
48,155 |
49,654 |
50,557 |
51,348 |
52,041 |
| 0700 |
Retail trade |
65,369 |
67,425 |
67,995 |
70,052 |
69,882 |
71,371 |
72,443 |
| 0800 |
Transportation and warehousing |
26,758 |
27,461 |
28,039 |
28,769 |
28,885 |
29,032 |
29,118 |
| 0900 |
Information |
55,186 |
55,667 |
56,045 |
59,852 |
58,267 |
57,929 |
57,503 |
| 1000 |
Finance and insurance |
68,906 |
69,232 |
70,734 |
74,119 |
74,526 |
74,533 |
75,067 |
| 1100 |
Real estate and rental and leasing |
30,978 |
33,584 |
34,639 |
34,420 |
34,113 |
36,488 |
39,191 |
| 1200 |
Professional and technical services |
102,666 |
103,506 |
105,703 |
110,268 |
113,493 |
115,339 |
116,610 |
| 1300 |
Management of companies and enterprises |
20,854 |
21,262 |
21,118 |
22,801 |
22,226 |
21,108 |
21,512 |
| 1400 |
Administrative and waste services |
37,084 |
37,877 |
38,543 |
39,588 |
40,529 |
41,212 |
42,006 |
| 1500 |
Educational services |
10,797 |
10,993 |
11,151 |
11,449 |
11,715 |
11,922 |
11,988 |
| 1600 |
Health care and social assistance |
75,872 |
77,108 |
78,393 |
80,729 |
82,393 |
84,373 |
85,644 |
| 1700 |
Arts, entertainment, and recreation |
15,194 |
15,712 |
16,305 |
16,090 |
15,972 |
16,406 |
16,637 |
| 1800 |
Accommodation and food services |
26,371 |
27,159 |
27,498 |
27,879 |
28,460 |
28,607 |
28,849 |
| 1900 |
Other services, except public administration |
28,746 |
29,189 |
30,094 |
30,959 |
31,232 |
31,582 |
31,828 |
| 2000 |
Government and government enterprises |
157,203 |
158,345 |
159,874 |
160,584 |
163,006 |
163,708 |
165,904 |
| 2001 |
Federal, civilian |
21,174 |
21,842 |
21,706 |
21,834 |
22,229 |
22,602 |
22,663 |
| 2002 |
Military |
13,651 |
13,704 |
14,002 |
14,161 |
14,514 |
14,350 |
14,301 |
| 2010 |
State and local |
122,378 |
122,799 |
124,166 |
124,588 |
126,263 |
126,756 |
128,941 |
SOURCE: http://www.bea.gov/bea/regional/sqpi/action.cfm |
BEARFACTS http://www.bea.gov/bea/regional/bearfacts |
| BEA Regional Facts-BEARFACTS-consists of computer-generated narratives for states, counties, metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs), and BEA Economic Areas. The narratives describe an area's personal income using current estimates, growth rates, and a breakdown of the sources of personal income.
You may compare the year of your choice (1979?2003) with a year that falls ten years prior, for example 2003 compared to 1993. A clickable state map will guide you.
State BEARFACTS are based on the state estimates published on September 28, 2005.
County, BEA Economic Area, and Metropolitan Statistical Area BEARFACTS are based on the county estimates published on April 27, 2005. | |
San Diego BEARFACTS
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San Diego-Carlsbad-San Marcos is one of 361 Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) in the nation. Its 2003 population of 2,918,829 ranked 17th in the nation.
In 2003 San Diego-Carlsbad-San Marcos had a per capita personal income (PCPI) of $35,841. This PCPI ranked 28th in the United States and was 114 percent of the national average, $31,472. The 2003 PCPI reflected an increase of 2.7 percent from 2002. The 2002-2003 national change was 2.2 percent. In 1993 the PCPI of San Diego-Carlsbad-San Marcos was $22,157 and ranked 61st in the United States. The 1993-2003 average annual growth rate of PCPI was 4.9 percent. The average annual growth rate for the nation was 4.0 percent.
In 2003 San Diego-Carlsbad-San Marcos had a total personal income (TPI) of $104,614,274. This TPI ranked 16th in the United States. In 1993 the TPI of San Diego-Carlsbad-San Marcos was $57,603,444 and ranked 17th in the United States. The 2003 TPI reflected an increase of 3.5 percent from 2002. The 2002-2003 national change was 3.2 percent. The 1993-2003 average annual growth rate of TPI was 6.1 percent. The average annual growth rate for the nation was 5.1 percent.
Total personal income includes net earnings by place of residence; dividends, interest, and rent; and personal current transfer receipts received by the residents of San Diego-Carlsbad-San Marcos. In 2003 net earnings accounted for 71.0 percent of TPI (compared with 66.7 in 1993); dividends, interest, and rent were 17.6 percent (compared with 20.5 in 1993); and personal current transfer receipts were 11.4 percent (compared with 12.8 in 1993). From 2002 to 2003 net earnings increased 5.0 percent; dividends, interest, and rent decreased 2.4 percent; and personal current transfer receipts increased 3.7 percent. From 1993 to 2003 net earnings increased on average 6.8 percent each year; dividends, interest, and rent increased on average 4.6 percent; and personal current transfer receipts increased on average 4.9 percent.
Earnings of persons employed in San Diego-Carlsbad-San Marcos increased from $79,230,366 in 2002 to $83,136,606 in 2003, an increase of 4.9 percent. The 2002-2003 national change was 4.1 percent. The average annual growth rate from the 1993 estimate of $42,850,678 to the 2003 estimate was 6.9 percent. The average annual growth rate for the nation was 5.3 percent.
Note: All income estimates with the exception of PCPI are in thousands of dollars, not adjusted for inflation. | |
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County income and employment summary -- San Diego, CA (thousands of dollars)
| Code |
Item |
2002 |
2003 |
| 010 |
Personal income |
101,118,328 |
104,614,274 |
| 011 |
Nonfarm personal income 1/ |
100,812,062 |
104,307,142 |
| 012 |
Farm income 2/ |
306,266 |
307,132 |
| 020 |
Population (persons) 3/ |
2,896,098 |
2,918,829 |
| 030 |
Per capita personal income (dollars) 4/ |
34,915 |
35,841 |
| 035 |
Earnings by place of work |
79,230,366 |
83,136,606 |
| 036 |
Less: Contributions for government social insurance 5/ |
8,453,035 |
8,848,028 |
| 037 |
Employee and self-employed contributions for government social insurance |
4,352,464 |
4,543,324 |
| 038 |
Employer contributions for government social insurance |
4,100,571 |
4,304,704 |
| 042 |
Plus: Adjustment for residence 6/ |
-5,398 |
20,923 |
| 045 |
Equals: Net earnings by place of residence |
70,771,933 |
74,309,501 |
| 046 |
Plus: Dividends, interest, and rent 7/ |
18,890,852 |
18,429,513 |
| 047 |
Plus: Personal current transfer receipts |
11,455,543 |
11,875,260 |
| 050 |
Wage and salary disbursements |
55,815,721 |
57,839,393 |
| 060 |
Supplements to wages and salaries |
13,299,439 |
14,340,792 |
| 061 |
Employer contributions for employee pension and insurance funds |
9,198,868 |
10,036,088 |
| 062 |
Employer contributions for government social insurance |
4,100,571 |
4,304,704 |
| 070 |
Proprietors' income 8/ |
10,115,206 |
10,956,421 |
| 071 |
Farm proprietors' income |
97,905 |
111,854 |
| 072 |
Nonfarm proprietors' income |
10,017,301 |
10,844,567 |
| 7010 |
Total employment |
1,784,538 |
1,816,527 |
| 7020 |
Wage and salary employment |
1,450,882 |
1,471,765 |
| 7040 |
Proprietors employment |
333,656 |
344,762 |
SOURCE: http://www.bea.gov |
Regional economic profiles -- San Diego, CA
| Code |
Item |
2002 |
2003 |
| |
Place of residence profile (thousands of dollars) |
|
|
| 010 |
Personal income |
101,118,328 |
104,614,274 |
| |
Derivation of personal income |
|
|
| 045 |
Net earnings 1/ |
70,771,933 |
74,309,501 |
| 050 |
Personal current transfer receipts |
11,455,543 |
11,875,260 |
| 060 |
Income maintenance 2/ |
1,227,390 |
1,290,019 |
| 070 |
Unemployment insurance compensation |
395,932 |
398,036 |
| 080 |
Retirement and other |
9,832,221 |
10,187,205 |
| 090 |
Dividends, interest, and rent |
18,890,852 |
18,429,513 |
| 100 |
Population (persons) 3/ |
2,896,098 |
2,918,829 |
| |
Per capita incomes (dollars) 4/ |
|
|
| 110 |
Per capita personal income |
34,915 |
35,841 |
| 120 |
Per capita net earnings |
24,437 |
25,459 |
| 130 |
Per capita personal current transfer receipts |
3,956 |
4,069 |
| 140 |
Per capita income maintenance |
424 |
442 |
| 150 |
Per capita unemployment insurance benefits |
137 |
136 |
| 160 |
Per capita retirement and other |
3,395 |
3,490 |
| 170 |
Per capita dividends, interest, and rent |
6,523 |
6,314 |
| |
Place of work profile |
|
|
| 180 |
Earnings by place of work ($000) |
79,230,366 |
83,136,606 |
| 190 |
Wage and salary disbursements |
55,815,721 |
57,839,393 |
| 200 |
Supplements to wages and salaries |
13,299,439 |
14,340,792 |
| 201 |
Employer contributions for employee pension and insurance funds |
9,198,868 |
10,036,088 |
| 202 |
Employer contributions for government social insurance |
4,100,571 |
4,304,704 |
| 210 |
Proprietors' income |
10,115,206 |
10,956,421 |
| 220 |
Nonfarm proprietors' income |
10,017,301 |
10,844,567 |
| 230 |
Farm proprietors' income |
97,905 |
111,854 |
| 240 |
Total full-time and part-time employment |
1,784,538 |
1,816,527 |
| 250 |
Wage and salary jobs |
1,450,882 |
1,471,765 |
| 260 |
Number of proprietors |
333,656 |
344,762 |
| 270 |
Number of nonfarm proprietors 5/ |
327,229 |
338,432 |
| 280 |
Number of farm proprietors |
6,427 |
6,330 |
| 290 |
Average earnings per job (dollars) |
44,398 |
45,767 |
| 300 |
Average wage and salary disbursements |
38,470 |
39,299 |
| 310 |
Average nonfarm proprietors' income |
30,613 |
32,044 |
SOURCE: http://www.bea.gov |
Total full-time and part-time employment by industry -- San Diego, CA (number of jobs)
| Code |
Item |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
| 0010 |
Total employment |
1,750,736 |
1,784,538 |
1,816,527 |
| 0020 |
Wage and salary employment |
1,421,107 |
1,450,882 |
1,471,765 |
| 0040 |
Proprietors employment |
329,629 |
333,656 |
344,762 |
| 0050 |
Farm proprietors employment |
6,431 |
6,427 |
6,330 |
| 0060 |
Nonfarm proprietors employment 2/ |
323,198 |
327,229 |
338,432 |
| 0070 |
Farm employment |
15,269 |
16,852 |
16,524 |
| 0080 |
Nonfarm employment |
1,735,467 |
1,767,686 |
1,800,003 |
| 0090 |
Private employment |
1,408,111 |
1,424,907 |
1,450,577 |
| 0100 |
Forestry, fishing, related activities, and other 3/ |
4,298 |
4,333 |
4,175 |
| 0200 |
Mining |
1,661 |
1,480 |
1,361 |
| 0300 |
Utilities |
5,569 |
5,920 |
6,249 |
| 0400 |
Construction |
100,900 |
100,941 |
104,712 |
| 0500 |
Manufacturing |
129,802 |
123,027 |
116,080 |
| 0600 |
Wholesale trade |
48,673 |
50,118 |
50,341 |
| 0700 |
Retail trade |
176,001 |
178,466 |
182,542 |
| 0800 |
Transportation and warehousing |
29,847 |
29,221 |
28,713 |
| 0900 |
Information |
47,044 |
44,788 |
42,604 |
| 1000 |
Finance and insurance |
74,102 |
75,907 |
80,297 |
| 1100 |
Real estate and rental and leasing |
82,313 |
84,460 |
87,787 |
| 1200 |
Professional and technical services |
163,663 |
165,754 |
170,321 |
| 1300 |
Management of companies and enterprises |
19,108 |
21,743 |
21,100 |
| 1400 |
Administrative and waste services |
110,984 |
113,719 |
115,625 |
| 1500 |
Educational services |
25,049 |
27,025 |
28,661 |
| 1600 |
Health care and social assistance |
127,614 |
131,291 |
133,816 |
| 1700 |
Arts, entertainment, and recreation |
39,515 |
39,951 |
40,869 |
| 1800 |
Accommodation and food services |
123,870 |
124,947 |
129,671 |
| 1900 |
Other services, except public administration |
98,098 |
101,816 |
105,653 |
| 2000 |
Government and government enterprises |
327,356 |
342,779 |
349,426 |
| 2001 |
Federal, civilian |
39,169 |
39,099 |
40,293 |
| 2002 |
Military |
112,374 |
117,764 |
122,160 |
| 2010 |
State and local |
175,813 |
185,916 |
186,973 |
| 2011 |
State government |
35,969 |
39,884 |
42,169 |
| 2012 |
Local government |
139,844 |
146,032 |
144,804 |
Source: http://www.bea.gov |
Compensation of Employees by Industry -- San Diego, CA (thousands of dollars)
| Code |
Item |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
| |
Total compensation of employees ($000) |
|
|
|
|
| 0001 |
Compensation of employees, received 1/ |
65,426,918 |
69,115,715 |
72,937,334 |
78,463,756 |
| 0005 |
Total wage and salary disbursements |
53,537,487 |
55,632,730 |
58,019,154 |
61,786,845 |
| 0006 |
Total supplements to wages and salaries |
11,889,431 |
13,482,985 |
14,918,180 |
16,676,911 |
| 0007 |
Employer contributions for employee pension and insurance funds |
7,971,466 |
9,269,032 |
10,419,913 |
11,785,288 |
| 0008 |
Employer contributions for government social insurance |
3,917,965 |
4,213,953 |
4,498,267 |
4,891,623 |
| 0009 |
Total average compensation per job (dollars) 2/ |
46,039 |
47,799 |
49,796 |
53,044 |
| |
Compensation of employees by industry |
|
|
|
|
| 0081 |
Farm compensation |
230,646 |
220,255 |
231,723 |
292,488 |
| 0082 |
Nonfarm compensation |
65,196,272 |
68,895,460 |
72,705,611 |
78,171,268 |
| 0090 |
Private compensation |
48,424,257 |
50,834,510 |
53,242,276 |
57,514,827 |
| 0100 |
Forestry, fishing, related activities, and other 3/ |
78,631 |
84,752 |
74,607 |
79,275 |
| 0101 |
Forestry and logging |
0 |
(D) |
(D) |
(D) |
| 0102 |
Fishing, hunting, and trapping |
25,269 |
(D) |
(D) |
(D) |
| 0103 |
Agriculture and forestry support activities |
53,362 |
57,595 |
55,789 |
61,781 |
| 0104 |
Other 3/ |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| 0200 |
Mining |
21,956 |
24,926 |
26,952 |
32,096 |
| 0201 |
Oil and gas extraction |
(D) |
3,128 |
(D) |
1,766 |
| 0202 |
Mining (except oil and gas) |
(D) |
19,483 |
(D) |
28,573 |
| 0203 |
Support activities for mining |
854 |
2,315 |
3,451 |
1,757 |
| 0300 |
Utilities |
435,762 |
518,602 |
438,094 |
457,137 |
| 0400 |
Construction |
3,794,918 |
4,110,933 |
4,352,947 |
5,082,574 |
| 0401 |
Construction of buildings |
917,641 |
983,974 |
1,088,877 |
1,344,683 |
| 0402 |
Heavy and civil engineering construction |
599,393 |
665,125 |
666,967 |
792,553 |
| 0403 |
Specialty trade contractors |
2,277,884 |
2,461,834 |
2,597,103 |
2,945,338 |
| 0500 |
Manufacturing |
7,445,344 |
7,508,801 |
7,632,823 |
7,996,322 |
| 0510 |
Durable goods manufacturing |
6,063,168 |
6,122,614 |
6,247,176 |
6,447,940 |
| 0511 |
 | | | | |
| |